Fiorentina vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
INT
3 - 1
FIO
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 0
FIO
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
FIO
4 - 0
MES
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
CAG
0 - 2
FIO
35%
29%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 2
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 1
ROM
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ATL
5 - 1
LIV
47%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
52%
26%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
SAM
4 - 1
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |