Fiorentina vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
19%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
FIO
4 - 1
INT
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 0
FIO
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
FIO
3 - 1
LAZ
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
GEN
4 - 0
FIO
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
LIV
3 - 0
INT
35%
24%
41%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LIV
65%
18%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 0
ACL
54%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
TOR
1 - 0
LIV
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
LIV
1 - 0
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |