Fiorentina vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
PAL
0 - 0
FIO
22%
20%
58%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
56%
21%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
FIO
1 - 1
TOR
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1934 |
ACM
2 - 0
FIO
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
FIO
0 - 1
NAP
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
LIV
4 - 0
ACM
33%
22%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
LIV
3 - 2
PAL
50%
22%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
LIV
3 - 1
PAD
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
LIV
0 - 0
JUV
22%
22%
56%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
BOL
1 - 0
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |