Europa League 1/16
Global 0-3
Fiorentina vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
BOL
3 - 2
FIO
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
TIR
2 - 2
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
UDI
1 - 2
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 2
COM
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
AUX
2 - 1
LIL
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LYO
4 - 2
LIL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2001 |
LIL
1 - 1
MUD
15%
20%
66%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
LIL
2 - 0
MET
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
DEP
1 - 1
LIL
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |