Fiorentina vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
UDI
0 - 0
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 0
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
SAM
3 - 1
FIO
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
JUV
4 - 1
FIO
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
LEC
0 - 2
INT
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ASC
2 - 0
LEC
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
LEC
0 - 0
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LEC
0 - 3
SAM
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 1
LEC
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |