Fiorentina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
FIO
0 - 1
NAP
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
TOR
2 - 2
FIO
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
UDI
2 - 2
FIO
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
31%
26%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
USC
1 - 1
FIO
23%
30%
47%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
JUV
1 - 0
LAZ
85%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ACM
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
AVE
1 - 0
LAZ
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
LAZ
0 - 1
VER
36%
30%
35%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
SAM
2 - 2
LAZ
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |