Fiorentina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
FCB
0 - 1
FIO
83%
11%
7%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
SAM
3 - 0
FIO
34%
26%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
FIO
3 - 1
USF
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
SPA
3 - 0
FIO
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1964 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
LAZ
2 - 2
CAT
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
GEN
1 - 0
LAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
VIG
0 - 3
LAZ
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 7 | 65 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
BOL
1 - 0
LAZ
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |