Fiorentina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
TRI
4 - 0
FIO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
GEN
4 - 2
FIO
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
FIO
1 - 1
MOD
64%
20%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SAM
43%
22%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
LAZ
5 - 1
MOD
55%
22%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ACM
3 - 0
LAZ
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
TRI
4 - 1
LAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
LAZ
2 - 5
PRO
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |