Fiorentina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
FIO
4 - 1
VIC
68%
16%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 0
USA
81%
12%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
VNZ
3 - 0
FIO
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
GEN
3 - 0
LAZ
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NAP
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
BOL
3 - 1
LAZ
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
LAZ
4 - 0
SAM
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
22%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |