Fiorentina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
FIO
1 - 2
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
TOR
2 - 0
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
FIO
2 - 2
TRI
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 1
FIO
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
LAZ
6 - 0
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
LAZ
1 - 3
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |