Fiorentina vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
FIO
0 - 1
UDI
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
BOA
1 - 0
FIO
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
FIO
19%
30%
51%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
FIO
2 - 0
SAM
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOA
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
JUV
0 - 0
ACM
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
VAL
0 - 4
JUV
27%
30%
43%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
EMP
0 - 1
JUV
14%
26%
60%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
JUV
3 - 0
AVE
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
JUV
7 - 0
VAL
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |