Fiorentina vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
PAL
0 - 2
FIO
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
INT
7 - 1
FIO
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
FIO
4 - 0
LAZ
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
TRI
4 - 0
FIO
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
JUV
4 - 1
LAZ
75%
15%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
JUV
6 - 1
PAD
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
JUV
3 - 2
PAL
80%
13%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |