Fiorentina vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
BOL
3 - 2
FIO
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
FIO
2 - 2
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
LAZ
1 - 1
FIO
65%
19%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
GEN
3 - 0
FIO
77%
14%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
JUV
1 - 1
TOR
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
MOD
1 - 2
JUV
37%
25%
39%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 6
TRI
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ROM
3 - 1
JUV
47%
26%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |