Fiorentina vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
PAL
0 - 4
FIO
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
FIO
1 - 0
JUV
53%
21%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
ATL
1 - 3
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
FIO
2 - 0
INT
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
ROM
1 - 2
FIO
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 0
INT
33%
25%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ACM
5 - 3
INT
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
FIO
2 - 0
INT
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
INT
0 - 0
SAM
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |