Fiorentina vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
39%
25%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
FIO
4 - 1
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 1
FIO
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
FIO
5 - 0
VNZ
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
JUV
5 - 2
FIO
75%
15%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
INT
7 - 0
VNZ
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
TRI
4 - 2
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
INT
3 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 3
INT
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
INT
1 - 1
PAD
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |