Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Fiorentina vs Žilina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
FIO
1 - 0
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1962 |
ZIL
3 - 2
FIO
38%
24%
39%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 1
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAL
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
FIO
0 - 0
CAT
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Žilina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1962 |
ZIL
3 - 2
FIO
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1961 |
ZIL
1 - 0
OLP
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1961 |
OLP
2 - 3
ZIL
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |