Fiorentina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
PRG
1 - 3
FIO
11%
21%
68%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 1
FIO
40%
29%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
FIO
4 - 2
NAP
33%
29%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
SAM
2 - 0
FIO
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
GEN
5 - 1
ANC
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
ANC
2 - 1
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
GEN
2 - 0
GIA
93%
5%
1%
|
81 | 26 | 55 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
73%
17%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
GEN
0 - 2
USF
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |