Fiorentina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
CAT
0 - 2
FIO
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 1
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
FIO
2 - 2
INT
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
VIC
1 - 1
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAG
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1965 |
PRO
1 - 2
GEN
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
GEN
1 - 1
CAG
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
VIC
0 - 0
GEN
51%
25%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 2
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |