Fiorentina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
SPA
3 - 1
FIO
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
FIO
3 - 1
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
NAP
2 - 0
FIO
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
71%
17%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
ACM
0 - 0
FIO
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
CAT
3 - 1
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
GEN
1 - 0
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
GEN
2 - 1
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |