Fiorentina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1932 |
TRI
3 - 0
FIO
20%
20%
61%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
FIO
0 - 0
INT
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
19%
19%
62%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
FIO
3 - 1
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
TOR
3 - 2
FIO
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 0
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
PAD
3 - 0
GEN
31%
23%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
PRO
3 - 4
GEN
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
GEN
4 - 0
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |