Fiorentina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
6.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
TOR
2 - 1
FIO
47%
29%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
FIO
2 - 1
VER
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
BOL
1 - 1
FIO
47%
29%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
73%
19%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
ROM
0 - 0
FIO
44%
28%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
VIC
2 - 0
FCC
65%
23%
12%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
FCC
1 - 1
MAN
50%
31%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCC
52%
29%
18%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
FCC
1 - 0
SAM
37%
32%
31%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
FCC
2 - 2
CAG
25%
29%
46%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |