Fiorentina vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
2 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
FIO
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
REG
0 - 0
EMP
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
EMP
3 - 0
SIE
43%
26%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 0
EMP
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
EMP
1 - 1
PIA
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CTT
2 - 3
EMP
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |