Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Fiorentina vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAT
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIO
70%
16%
14%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
FIO
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
DZG
2 - 0
RHB
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 15 | 63 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
RHB
0 - 0
DZG
31%
22%
47%
|
78 | 15 | 63 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1958 |
DUK
2 - 1
DZG
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1958 |
DZG
2 - 2
DUK
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |