Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 7-1
Fiorentina vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
CAG
0 - 1
FIO
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
CRV
0 - 4
FIO
49%
23%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
BRE
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 3
FIO
34%
25%
42%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
CRV
0 - 4
FIO
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
GLA
3 - 1
CRV
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
CRV
4 - 2
GLA
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1964 |
GLA
3 - 1
CRV
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1963 |
CRV
2 - 0
ROM
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |