Fiorentina vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
FIO
4 - 1
ATL
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
INT
2 - 0
FIO
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
FIO
3 - 1
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
BOL
3 - 1
FIO
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
FIO
2 - 1
NAP
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
COM
0 - 1
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
VER
3 - 0
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
TOR
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
LEC
3 - 2
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
COM
1 - 0
VNZ
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |