Fiorentina vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIV
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SAS
0 - 1
FIO
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
DNI
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAG
41%
29%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
4 - 1
CHI
49%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAM
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAS
0 - 1
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
4 - 1
REG
62%
24%
14%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |