Fiorentina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
VER
1 - 1
FIO
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
FIO
2 - 2
ROM
66%
22%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
FIO
1 - 2
JUV
52%
27%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
INT
2 - 1
FIO
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIC
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
CAT
1 - 1
VIC
32%
33%
35%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
JUV
5 - 0
CAT
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAT
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
CAT
1 - 0
TOR
26%
33%
41%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
VER
1 - 1
CAT
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |