Fiorentina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
INT
0 - 0
FIO
67%
18%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
ZBR
4 - 0
FIO
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
FIO
1 - 1
USF
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
ZBR
68%
18%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 2
CAT
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
CAT
0 - 0
LAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
CAT
2 - 1
CAG
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |