Fiorentina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
UDI
2 - 3
FIO
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
FIO
4 - 1
INT
63%
19%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
VIC
1 - 1
FIO
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOL
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
SAM
1 - 3
FIO
31%
25%
45%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1962 |
CAT
1 - 1
ROM
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SAM
4 - 1
CAT
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
CAT
2 - 0
VIC
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 3
ACM
23%
24%
54%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |