Fiorentina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIO
70%
16%
14%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
FIO
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
FIO
1 - 0
SAM
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
LEC
0 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 0
BOL
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 2
JUV
16%
20%
64%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAT
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
CAT
4 - 3
ACM
22%
23%
56%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |