Fiorentina vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
FIO
0 - 0
UDI
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
SAM
2 - 0
FIO
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
TOR
1 - 1
FIO
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
FIO
1 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
COM
0 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAD
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAV
73%
17%
11%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
VER
1 - 0
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |