Fiorentina vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
PES
0 - 3
FIO
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
PRG
0 - 4
FIO
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
FIO
1 - 2
BAR
80%
14%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1984 |
BAR
2 - 1
FIO
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
AVE
0 - 0
FIO
35%
30%
35%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
CAS
0 - 3
NAP
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CAS
0 - 0
PES
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
CAS
2 - 1
PES
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 3
ASC
28%
23%
48%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |