Fiorentina vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
ROM
4 - 2
FIO
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
ACM
2 - 2
FIO
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1932 |
FIO
2 - 2
PAD
68%
16%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1932 |
BOL
1 - 1
FIO
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1932 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIO
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 4
BOL
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
CAS
0 - 1
LEO
45%
23%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1932 |
USA
1 - 1
CAS
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 2
JUV
23%
22%
55%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1932 |
TOR
9 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |