Fiorentina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
FIO
4 - 0
ACP
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
SIE
1 - 4
FIO
35%
25%
41%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
CAR
2 - 4
FIO
18%
21%
62%
|
85 | 27 | 58 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
ACP
0 - 1
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
FIO
1 - 0
SIE
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
PAD
3 - 1
BRE
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
PAD
1 - 0
VIC
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
PAD
2 - 1
VNZ
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
VIC
2 - 1
PAD
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |