Fiorentina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
PRO
2 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1955 |
TRI
1 - 1
FIO
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
FIO
3 - 3
INT
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
FIO
2 - 2
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
BOL
0 - 2
FIO
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
PAD
1 - 2
LAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
PAD
3 - 0
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
PAD
1 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1955 |
TRE
0 - 3
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |