Fiorentina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
USA
3 - 1
FIO
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
FIO
2 - 1
GEN
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
INT
2 - 4
FIO
74%
15%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 2
FIO
23%
22%
55%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
PAD
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
PAD
3 - 1
PAL
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAD
50%
22%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
PAD
3 - 1
NAP
25%
21%
54%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAD
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |