Fiorentina vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
FIO
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 0
SIE
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
INT
2 - 0
FIO
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
PAL
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
REG
1 - 1
FIO
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CAG
1 - 0
CAT
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAG
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CAG
0 - 1
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAG
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CAG
0 - 0
TOR
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |