Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 3-3
Fiorentina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ROM
1 - 0
FIO
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 0
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PIA
0 - 0
FIO
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 1
FIO
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 3
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ACM
4 - 2
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 1
LAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SIE
0 - 1
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 1
PRG
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |