Fiorentina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
SAM
2 - 0
FIO
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
ATL
1 - 0
FIO
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
FIO
1 - 1
VIC
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
PAR
1 - 2
FIO
49%
26%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
FIO
4 - 0
NAP
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
BRE
1 - 3
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
ROM
5 - 0
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
BRE
1 - 1
LAZ
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
EMP
3 - 1
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |