Fiorentina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
VIC
1 - 0
FIO
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
USA
1 - 1
FIO
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
FIO
1 - 1
VNZ
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
TRI
1 - 1
FIO
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
MOD
3 - 0
FIO
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
TOR
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
LIV
2 - 2
BRE
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
BRE
3 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
ACM
2 - 1
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
BRE
2 - 0
LAZ
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |