Fiorentina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
PAL
0 - 0
FIO
22%
23%
56%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1935 |
LEO
2 - 0
FIO
31%
25%
45%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
ROM
0 - 0
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
BRE
3 - 0
LEO
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1935 |
ACM
0 - 1
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
BRE
2 - 1
ROM
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
JUV
0 - 0
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
USA
1 - 0
BRE
63%
18%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |