Fiorentina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
ACM
1 - 1
FIO
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
FIO
1 - 0
LEO
79%
13%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
VER
0 - 4
FIO
45%
23%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
FIO
3 - 2
BRE
63%
19%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
USC
0 - 6
FIO
22%
19%
59%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1931 |
BRE
1 - 0
USA
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
BRE
3 - 2
ROM
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
LEO
2 - 0
BRE
51%
20%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
BRE
1 - 1
JUV
32%
25%
44%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BRE
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |