Fiorentina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
FIO
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAR
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FIO
1 - 1
INT
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
INT
3 - 1
BOL
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
INT
2 - 2
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 2
MES
68%
19%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |