Fiorentina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
FIO
1 - 1
SAM
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
FIO
4 - 1
USF
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
FIO
1 - 1
FCC
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
BOL
0 - 1
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 0
BOL
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
76%
17%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
FCC
1 - 2
BOL
33%
31%
36%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACM
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |