Fiorentina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 0
JUV
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
TOR
3 - 1
FIO
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ROM
3 - 3
FIO
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
FIO
0 - 2
FCB
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
AND
0 - 0
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
BOL
0 - 1
SAM
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |