Fiorentina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
LAZ
3 - 3
FIO
65%
18%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
2 - 2
FIO
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
FIO
2 - 3
TOR
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
VNZ
2 - 2
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 0
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
BOL
4 - 2
ROM
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
BOL
2 - 2
JUV
62%
19%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
LIV
1 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
BOL
3 - 1
INT
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
27%
25%
49%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |