Fiorentina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
LIV
3 - 0
FIO
19%
19%
62%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
FIO
4 - 1
PAL
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 3
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
TOR
4 - 1
FIO
52%
22%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
BOL
3 - 0
NAP
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
TRI
1 - 1
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
PAL
2 - 1
BOL
30%
24%
45%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
BOL
4 - 1
USA
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |