Fiorentina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
NAP
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 4
FIO
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
FIO
0 - 1
TRI
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
INT
3 - 1
FIO
75%
13%
12%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
FIO
1 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
BOL
2 - 2
ROM
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
LEO
1 - 3
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
TOR
3 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |