Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 6-0
Fiorentina vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
BJK
0 - 3
FIO
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1975 |
FIO
3 - 2
ACM
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
ROM
2 - 2
FIO
51%
27%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
TOR
1 - 0
FIO
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
FIO
3 - 1
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
BJK
1 - 1
FEN
37%
30%
33%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
ADA
2 - 0
BJK
44%
32%
25%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
BJK
0 - 3
FIO
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
BJK
2 - 3
ESK
50%
28%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
BAL
1 - 1
BJK
28%
36%
37%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |