Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
Fiorentina vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 1
FIO
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 0
LAZ
73%
18%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
FCB
0 - 1
FIO
83%
11%
7%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
SAM
3 - 0
FIO
34%
26%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
FIO
3 - 1
USF
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
FCB
8 - 1
MUR
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
DEP
1 - 2
FCB
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
FCB
0 - 1
FIO
83%
11%
7%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
FCB
2 - 3
ATM
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
UDL
2 - 1
FCB
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | -1 |